ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
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EISSN:2332-9025|ISSN:2332-9017|Disc:The ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part B: Mechanical Engineering disseminates research findings, best practices and concerns, and discussion and debate on risk and uncertainty related issues. The journal reports on the full range of risk and uncertainty analysis state-of-art and state-of-practice relating to mechanical engineering, including but not limited to risk quantification based on hazard identification, scenario development and rate quantification, consequence assessment, valuations, perception, communication, risk-informed decision making, uncertainty analysis and modeling, and other related areas|Priority:4|Publisher:American Society of Civil Engineers|
Recent Submissions
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Nondeterministic High-Cycle Fatigue Macromodel Updating and Failure Probability Analysis of Welded Joints of Long-Span Structures
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Unlike previous models that do not consider uncertainties, this paper proposes a new nondeterministic method to estimate the high-cycle fatigue (HCF) resistance of welded hollow spherical joints (WHSJs) in long-span ... -
Interval Predictor Model for the Survival Signature Using Monotone Radial Basis Functions
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)This research describes a novel method for approximating the survival signature for very large systems. In recent years, the survival signature has emerged as a capable tool for the reliability analysis of critical ... -
A Quasi-Binomial Regression Model for Hurricane-Induced Power Outages during Early Warning
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Hurricanes can cause devastating damage to overhead distribution lines leading to large power outages in electric grids. Power outage prediction models can help utilities to plan for an expedited power recovery by identifying ... -
Modeling of Chloride Spatial Variability in a Reinforced Concrete Wharf from Onsite Measurements
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Chloride ingress by diffusion is the major deterioration process of reinforced concrete (RC) structures exposed to the marine environment. These structures have significant lengths or surfaces exposed to the outside ... -
A Decision Support Methodology for Seismic Design Requirements of Buildings to Achieve Community-Level Resilience Metrics
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Communities can face devastation from earthquakes, including loss of lives, destruction of infrastructure, and damage to buildings. By implementing rigorous standards, communities can ensure that both new and existing ... -
Gaussian Mixture–Based Autoregressive Error Model with a Conditionally Heteroscedastic Hierarchical Framework for Bayesian Updating of Structures
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)The heteroscedastic Bayesian model updating framework assigned different variances to the modal errors using heteroscedastic parameters modeled by gamma distributions. However, the error density shows significant asymmetry, ... -
Optimum Design of Hybrid Base Isolation and Tuned Liquid Damper Systems for Structures under Near-Fault Ground Motions
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Near-fault movements produce earthquakes with very large displacements, which are known for their destructive properties. The increase in the number of stories of a structure isolated from the base increases the weight of ... -
The Optimization of Fleet Deployment for Container Liner Shipping under the Carbon Tax and Energy Efficiency Operation Indicator
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)To address the ship allocation issues within container liner routes in the context of enhancing energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions in ship operations, we formulated a dual-objective mixed-integer nonlinear ... -
Stochastic Evaluation of Railway Track Buckling Using Monte-Carlo Simulations
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)The necessity of railway track buckling assessment stems from the critical need to mitigate the risks associated with track buckling, which can lead to considerable track system damage and pose significant risks to operational ... -
Bayesian Finite-Element Model Updating of Bridges Considering Boundary Condition Uncertainties
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)A Bayesian finite-element model updating method for updating the additional rotational and horizontal constraints of bridge boundary conditions using modal parameters is proposed. First, the spring constant is considered ... -
Navigation Decision-Making Method of Complex Multitype Ships’ Routing Waters
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)The navigation decision-making method has attracted increasing attention in recent years. However, most of the research is concentrated on open waters. This study proposes a navigation decision-making method suitable for ... -
Risk Identification, Prioritization, and Mapping for Early Construction Cost Contingency in Transportation Infrastructure Projects
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)State Departments of Transportation (DOTs) require reliable early construction cost estimates for project budgeting. Typically, project budgets are established early in the development process before finalizing a project’s ... -
Stress Resultant–Based Approach to Mass Assumption–Free Bayesian Model Updating of Frame Structures
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Bayesian model updating facilitates the calibration of analytical models based on observations and the quantification of uncertainties in model parameters such as stiffness and mass. This process significantly enhances ... -
Study of Site Investigation Sample Quality and Worst-Case Scale of Fluctuation for Monopiles Based on Conditional Random Fields
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)The spatial variability of soil is usually modeled as a nonstationary unconditional random field (URF), which utilizes only the statistics of the soil field, and conditional random field (CRF), which utilizes both the ... -
Enhanced Prediction and Uncertainty Analysis for In-Plane and Out-of-Plane Resistance of Unreinforced Masonry Walls: A Multifidelity Approach
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Unreinforced masonry (URM) walls are commonly found in historic and legacy buildings around the world. The structural resistance of URM walls under in-plane (IP) and out-of-plane (OOP) loads is of primary concern to ... -
Structural Reliability Analysis Using Generalized Distribution Reconstruction Method with Novel Improvements
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)The probability density function (PDF) of structural responses is one of the significant fundamentals for structural reliability analysis. Nonetheless, it is still challenging to compute the PDF, especially when the ... -
Optimum Seismic Retrofit of Deteriorating RC Bridge Columns Based on Risk, Cost–Benefit, and Real Option Analyses
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Continuous exposure to aggressive environmental stressors, deterioration mechanisms, and natural hazards subjects existing bridges to a multitude of detrimental impacts on structural performance throughout their service ... -
An Approach to Quantifying the Distribution of Resonance and Cancellation Train Speeds of Railway Bridges with Random Uncertainties
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Resonance and cancellation phenomena are fundamental scientific topics in the field of train–bridge interactions. Prior studies have explained their underlying mechanisms and consequential effects. This paper re-examined ... -
Data-Driven Telecommunication Outage Prediction during Hurricane Events
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Telecommunication infrastructure (TI) has become an indispensable part in modern society, and its functionality is especially vital to emergency response during hurricanes. This study bridges the gap of lack of quantitative ... -
An Integrated Framework for Analyzing Risk Influence Factors of Inland Waterway Transport Based on Interpretive Structural Models and Bayesian Networks
(American Society of Civil Engineers, 2024)Historical accident data provides valuable insights into the causes of maritime accidents. To investigate the effect of factors on maritime safety through accident analysis, this study collected 238 accidents that occurred ...