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    A Decomposition of the Correlation Coefficient and its Use in Analyzing Forecasting Skill 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1990:;volume( 005 ):;issue: 004:;page 661
    Author(s): Stewart, Thomas R.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Estimates of several components of forecasting skill can be obtained by combining a skill-score decomposition developed by Allan Murphy with techniques for decomposing correlation coefficients that have been employed in ...
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    Understanding User Decision Making and the Value of Improved Precipitation Forecasts: Lessons From a Case Study 

    Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2004:;volume( 085 ):;issue: 002:;page 223
    Author(s): Stewart, Thomas R.; Pielke, Roger; Nath, Radhika
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: A case study of the impact of improved precipitation forecasts on the snow-fighting operations of the New York State Thruway is reported. The goal was to use currently available data and literature on forecast process, ...
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    Coefficients for Debiasing Forecasts 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;1990:;volume( 119 ):;issue: 008:;page 2047
    Author(s): Stewart, Thomas R.; Reagan-Cirincione, Patricia
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Skill-score decompositions can be used to analyze the effects of bias on forecasting skill. However, since bias terms are typically squared, and bias is measured in skill-score units rather than in units of the forecasts, ...
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    Reply 

    Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2005:;volume( 086 ):;issue: 010:;page 1487
    Author(s): Stewart, Thomas R.; Pielke, Roger; Nath, Radhika
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: No Abstract Available.
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    Value of Weather Information: A Descriptive Study of the Fruit-Frost Problem 

    Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;1984:;volume( 065 ):;issue: 002:;page 126
    Author(s): Stewart, Thomas R.; Katz, Richard W.; Murphy, Allan H.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: This paper reports some results of a descriptive study of the value of weather information used by fruit growers in the Yakima Valley of central Washington to decide when to protect their orchards against freezing temperatures. ...
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    Analysis of Expert Judgment in a Hail Forecasting Experiment 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1989:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 001:;page 24
    Author(s): Stewart, Thomas R.; Moninger, William R.; Brady, Ray H.; Merrem, Frank H.; Stewart, Thomas R.; Grassia, Janet
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: This study compared meteorologists, an expert system, and simple weighted-sum models in a limited-information hail forecasting experiment. It was found that forecasts made by meteorologists were closely approximated by an ...
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    The Weather Information and Skill Experiment (WISE): The Effect of Varying Levels of Information on Forecast Skill 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1993:;volume( 008 ):;issue: 001:;page 25
    Author(s): Heideman, Kenneth F.; Stewart, Thomas R.; Moninger, William R.; Reagan-Cirincione, Patricia
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The relationship between the quality and quantity of information available to meteorologists and the skill of their forecasts was investigated. Twelve meteorologists were asked to make probabilistic forecasts of significant ...
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    Judgment and Decision Making in Dynamic Tasks: The Case of Forecasting the Microburst 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1990:;volume( 005 ):;issue: 004:;page 627
    Author(s): Lusk, Cynthia M.; Stewart, Thomas R.; Hammond, Kenneth R.; Potts, Rodney J.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Two studies of microburst forecasting were conducted in order to demonstrate the utility of applying theoretical and methodological concepts from judgment and decision making to meteorology. A hierarchical model of the ...
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