A Decomposition of the Correlation Coefficient and its Use in Analyzing Forecasting SkillSource: Weather and Forecasting:;1990:;volume( 005 ):;issue: 004::page 661Author:Stewart, Thomas R.
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1990)005<0661:ADOTCC>2.0.CO;2Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Estimates of several components of forecasting skill can be obtained by combining a skill-score decomposition developed by Allan Murphy with techniques for decomposing correlation coefficients that have been employed in research on human judgment. The decomposition of the correlation coefficient requires knowledge of the information or ?cues? used by the forecaster. When the cues are known, it is possible to estimate the effects of uncertainty and the forecaster's consistency and use of the cues.
|
Collections
Show full item record
| contributor author | Stewart, Thomas R. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T14:44:30Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T14:44:30Z | |
| date copyright | 1990/12/01 | |
| date issued | 1990 | |
| identifier issn | 0882-8156 | |
| identifier other | ams-2569.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4162500 | |
| description abstract | Estimates of several components of forecasting skill can be obtained by combining a skill-score decomposition developed by Allan Murphy with techniques for decomposing correlation coefficients that have been employed in research on human judgment. The decomposition of the correlation coefficient requires knowledge of the information or ?cues? used by the forecaster. When the cues are known, it is possible to estimate the effects of uncertainty and the forecaster's consistency and use of the cues. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | A Decomposition of the Correlation Coefficient and its Use in Analyzing Forecasting Skill | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 5 | |
| journal issue | 4 | |
| journal title | Weather and Forecasting | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0434(1990)005<0661:ADOTCC>2.0.CO;2 | |
| journal fristpage | 661 | |
| journal lastpage | 666 | |
| tree | Weather and Forecasting:;1990:;volume( 005 ):;issue: 004 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext |