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Hurricane Intensity Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: eather has long been projected to possess limited predictability due to the inherent chaotic nature of the atmosphere; small changes in initial conditions could lead to an entirely different state of the atmosphere after ...
Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) from Merging Vortices Associated with ITCZ Breakdowns. Part III: Sensitivity to Various Genesis Parameters
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, a series of sensitivity simulations is performed to examine the processes leading to the genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) from merging vortices associated with the breakdowns of the intertropical ...
Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) from Merging Vortices Associated with ITCZ Breakdowns. Part II: Roles of Vortex Merger and Ambient Potential Vorticity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, the roles of merging midlevel mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs) and convectively generated potential vorticity (PV) patches embedded in the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in determining tropical ...
Potential Vorticity Diagnosis of a Simulated Hurricane. Part II: Quasi-Balanced Contributions to Forced Secondary Circulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Although the forced secondary circulations (FSCs) associated with hurricane-like vortices have been previously examined, understanding is still limited to idealized, axisymmetric flows and forcing functions. In this study, ...
Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) from Merging Vortices Associated with ITCZ Breakdowns. Part I: Observational and Modeling Analyses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Although tropical cyclogenesis occurs over all tropical warm ocean basins, the eastern Pacific appears to have the highest frequency of tropical cyclogenesis events per unit area. In this study, tropical cyclogenesis from ...
Frictionally Induced Feedback in a Reduced Dynamical Model of Tropical Cyclone Intensification
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the role of frictional feedback in the atmospheric boundary layer during tropical cyclone (TC) development. Using a reduced model of TC dynamics, it is shown that a feedback between frictional convergence ...
A Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion Algorithm and Its Application to Hurricane Inner-Core Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, a piecewise potential vorticity (PV) inversion algorithm for an arbitrary number of PV pieces is developed by extending Wang and Zhang?s PV inversion scheme, and then the nonlinear responses to various types ...
On the Development of Double Warm-Core Structures in Intense Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the formation of a double warm-core (DWC) structure in intense tropical cyclones (TCs) that was captured in almost all supertyphoon cases during the 2012?14 real-time typhoon forecasts in the northwestern ...
An Examination of the Pressure–Wind Relationship for Intense Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, the dynamical constraints underlining the pressure?wind relationship (PWR) for intense tropical cyclones (TCs) are examined with the particular focus on the physical connections between the maximum surface ...
Stochastic Variability of Tropical Cyclone Intensity at the Maximum Potential Intensity Equilibrium
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the variability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity associated with stochastic forcings at the maximum potential intensity (PI) equilibrium. By representing TC intensity as an Itô diffusion process in ...