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    Climate Forecasts and Flood Planning under the Reign of ENSO

    Source: Natural Hazards Review:;2004:;Volume ( 005 ):;issue: 002
    Author:
    Kris Wernstedt
    ,
    Robert Hersh
    DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2004)5:2(97)
    Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
    Abstract: We examine the use of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts for flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. Our investigation relies on (1) case studies of three counties vulnerable to flooding that have had access to long-term forecasts of ENSO conditions, and (2) examination of data collected from a survey of nearly 60 local emergency managers, planners, and public works staff. Results suggest that climate forecasts can facilitate flood planning when used by public and private policy entrepreneurs to build political support for flood mitigation measures. Understanding the social processes and regulatory machinery involved in applying these forecasts is critical to their more effective use. This use could be promoted by an extension service to disseminate climate information and proactive efforts to identify and work with entrepreneurial hazard planners and managers.
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      Climate Forecasts and Flood Planning under the Reign of ENSO

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/54742
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    contributor authorKris Wernstedt
    contributor authorRobert Hersh
    date accessioned2017-05-08T21:31:23Z
    date available2017-05-08T21:31:23Z
    date copyrightMay 2004
    date issued2004
    identifier other%28asce%291527-6988%282004%295%3A2%2897%29.pdf
    identifier urihttp://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl/handle/yetl/54742
    description abstractWe examine the use of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts for flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. Our investigation relies on (1) case studies of three counties vulnerable to flooding that have had access to long-term forecasts of ENSO conditions, and (2) examination of data collected from a survey of nearly 60 local emergency managers, planners, and public works staff. Results suggest that climate forecasts can facilitate flood planning when used by public and private policy entrepreneurs to build political support for flood mitigation measures. Understanding the social processes and regulatory machinery involved in applying these forecasts is critical to their more effective use. This use could be promoted by an extension service to disseminate climate information and proactive efforts to identify and work with entrepreneurial hazard planners and managers.
    publisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers
    titleClimate Forecasts and Flood Planning under the Reign of ENSO
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume5
    journal issue2
    journal titleNatural Hazards Review
    identifier doi10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2004)5:2(97)
    treeNatural Hazards Review:;2004:;Volume ( 005 ):;issue: 002
    contenttypeFulltext
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