Intelligent Construction and Analysis of a Complex Network for Determining Risk-Influencing Factors in Ship Self-Sinking Accidents

Abstract

One of the most effective methods for analyzing risk-influencing factors (RIFs) in maritime accidents is the complex network approach. However, there is limited research specifically focused on RIFs in ship self-sinking accidents. Moreover, challenges remain in the accurate ontology construction of RIFs based on the data set, intelligent extraction of RIF propagation paths, RIF importance ranking, and robustness analysis of complex networks. To address these issues, an intelligent method is proposed to construct a ship self-sinking accident RIF complex network (SSARIFCN) based on 204 accident reports, yielding 247 nodes and 1,872 edges derived from 488 RIF propagation paths. This approach significantly improves the objectivity and accuracy of RIF identification while enhancing the intelligence level of the information extraction process. The three-weight LeaderRank algorithm is applied for node importance ranking and network robustness analysis, outperforming eight traditional ranking models and five attack algorithms, enhancing the accuracy of key RIF identification. Based on this algorithm, the top five RIFs for ship self-sinking accidents were identified, concluding that “unfit for maritime navigation” is a frequently overlooked key RIF. The experiment validates the method’s effectiveness in identifying key RIFs, controlling RIF propagation, and enhancing accident prevention and navigational safety.