Data and Model Synergy-Driven Rolling Bearings Remaining Useful Life Prediction Approach Based on Deep Neural Network and Wiener Process

Abstract

Various remaining useful life (RUL) prediction methods, encompassing model-based, data-driven, and hybrid methods, have been developed and successfully applied to prognostics and health management for diverse rolling bearing. Hybrid methods that integrate the merits of model-based and data-driven methods have garnered significant attention. However, the effective integration of the two methods to address the randomness in rolling bearing full life cycle processes remains a significant challenge. To overcome the challenge, this paper proposes a data and model synergy-driven RUL prediction framework that includes two data and model synergy strategies. First, a convolutional stacked bidirectional long short-term memory network with temporal attention mechanism is established to construct Health Index (HI). The RUL prediction is achieved based on HI and polynomial model. Second, a three-phase degradation model based on the Wiener process is developed by considering the evolutionary pattern of different degradation phases. Then, two synergy strategies are designed. Strategy 1: HI is adopted as the observation value for online updating of physics degradation model parameters under Bayesian framework, and the RUL prediction results are obtained from the physics degradation model. Strategy 2: The RUL prediction results from the data-driven and physics-based model are weighted linearly combined to improve the overall prediction accuracy. The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified using two bearing full life cycle datasets. The results indicate that the proposed approach can accommodate both short-term and long-term RUL predictions, outperforming state-of-the-art single models.