Liquefaction Hazard in the Groningen Region of the Netherlands due to Induced Seismicity

Abstract

The operator of the Groningen gas field is leading an effort to quantify the seismic hazard and risk of the region due to induced earthquakes, including overseeing one of the most comprehensive liquefaction hazard studies performed globally to date. Due to the unique characteristics of the seismic hazard and the geologic deposits in Groningen, efforts first focused on developing relationships for a Groningen-specific liquefaction triggering model. The liquefaction hazard was then assessed using a Monte Carlo method, wherein a range of credible event scenarios were considered in computing liquefaction damage-potential hazard curves. This effort entailed the use of a regional stochastic seismic source model, ground motion prediction equation, site response model, and geologic model that were developed as part of the broader regional seismic hazard assessment. No to minor surficial liquefaction manifestations are predicted for most sites across the study area for a 2475-year return period. The only sites where moderate surficial liquefaction manifestations are predicted are in the town of Zandeweer, with only some of the sites in the town being predicted to experience this severity of liquefaction for this return period.