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    OBJECTIVE PREDICTION OF FIVE-DAY MEAN TEMPERATURES DURING WINTER

    Source: Journal of Meteorology:;1959:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 006::page 672
    Author:
    Klein, William H.
    ,
    Lewis, Billy M.
    ,
    Enger, Isadore
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1959)016<0672:OPOFDM>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: A statistical screening procedure is used to derive linear multiple-regression equations which express 5-day mean surface temperature as a function of 5-day mean 700-mb heights centered 2 days earlier. Application of these equations to heights obtained from barotropic prognoses would have produced temperature predictions of positive skill during the test winter of 1957?58. The forecasts can be considerably improved by including as a predictor the local value of 5-day mean surface temperature for a period 4 days earlier than the forecast period. When this term was combined with the barotropically-estimated heights, objective temperature predictions comparable in accuracy to conventional forecasts were made by multiple-regression equations. Further work is in progress to obtain additional improvement by screening the entire field of surface temperature.
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      OBJECTIVE PREDICTION OF FIVE-DAY MEAN TEMPERATURES DURING WINTER

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4150155
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    contributor authorKlein, William H.
    contributor authorLewis, Billy M.
    contributor authorEnger, Isadore
    date accessioned2017-06-09T14:12:15Z
    date available2017-06-09T14:12:15Z
    date copyright1959/12/01
    date issued1959
    identifier issn0095-9634
    identifier otherams-14579.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4150155
    description abstractA statistical screening procedure is used to derive linear multiple-regression equations which express 5-day mean surface temperature as a function of 5-day mean 700-mb heights centered 2 days earlier. Application of these equations to heights obtained from barotropic prognoses would have produced temperature predictions of positive skill during the test winter of 1957?58. The forecasts can be considerably improved by including as a predictor the local value of 5-day mean surface temperature for a period 4 days earlier than the forecast period. When this term was combined with the barotropically-estimated heights, objective temperature predictions comparable in accuracy to conventional forecasts were made by multiple-regression equations. Further work is in progress to obtain additional improvement by screening the entire field of surface temperature.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleOBJECTIVE PREDICTION OF FIVE-DAY MEAN TEMPERATURES DURING WINTER
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume16
    journal issue6
    journal titleJournal of Meteorology
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0469(1959)016<0672:OPOFDM>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage672
    journal lastpage682
    treeJournal of Meteorology:;1959:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 006
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
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