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contributor authorKlein, William H.
contributor authorLewis, Billy M.
contributor authorEnger, Isadore
date accessioned2017-06-09T14:12:15Z
date available2017-06-09T14:12:15Z
date copyright1959/12/01
date issued1959
identifier issn0095-9634
identifier otherams-14579.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4150155
description abstractA statistical screening procedure is used to derive linear multiple-regression equations which express 5-day mean surface temperature as a function of 5-day mean 700-mb heights centered 2 days earlier. Application of these equations to heights obtained from barotropic prognoses would have produced temperature predictions of positive skill during the test winter of 1957?58. The forecasts can be considerably improved by including as a predictor the local value of 5-day mean surface temperature for a period 4 days earlier than the forecast period. When this term was combined with the barotropically-estimated heights, objective temperature predictions comparable in accuracy to conventional forecasts were made by multiple-regression equations. Further work is in progress to obtain additional improvement by screening the entire field of surface temperature.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titleOBJECTIVE PREDICTION OF FIVE-DAY MEAN TEMPERATURES DURING WINTER
typeJournal Paper
journal volume16
journal issue6
journal titleJournal of Meteorology
identifier doi10.1175/1520-0469(1959)016<0672:OPOFDM>2.0.CO;2
journal fristpage672
journal lastpage682
treeJournal of Meteorology:;1959:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 006
contenttypeFulltext


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