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A Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Scheme Based on the Selective Consensus of Ensemble Prediction Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSelective consensus and a grand ensemble based on an ensemble prediction system (EPS) have been found to be effective in improving deterministic tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts, while little attention has ...
Coordination Mechanism of Transportation-inventory Model in Fuzzy Environment
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: For the system coordination of transportation-inventory problem in the presence of uncertainty in customer demand, inventory cost, and lead time, this paper, from the point of optimizing logistics cost, establishes the ...
Effect of TC–Trough Interaction on the Intensity Change of Two Typhoons
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Using large-scale analyses, the effect of tropical cyclone?trough interaction on tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change is readdressed by studying the evolution of upper-level eddy flux convergence (EFC) of angular momentum ...
Verification of Tropical Cyclone–Related Satellite Precipitation Estimates in Mainland China
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To evaluate the abilities of satellite retrievals in reflecting precipitation features related to tropical cyclones (TCs) affecting mainland China, four years of 6- and 24-h precipitation retrievals from three datasets, ...
A High-Resolution Simulation of Typhoon Rananim (2004) with MM5. Part I: Model Verification, Inner-Core Shear, and Asymmetric Convection
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University?National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU?NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5) is used to simulate Typhoon Rananim (2004) at high resolution (2-km grid size). ...
Current Capability of Operational Numerical Models in Predicting Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: orecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from six operational models (three global models and three regional models) during 2010 and 2011 are assessed to study the current capability of model guidance in the western ...
Experimental Study on Strength and Microstructure of Cemented Soil with Different Suctions
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: The use of cement as curing agent to increase the strength of soft ground and reduce the deformation of soft soils has been widely adopted in soft soil engineering. The cemented soil is eventually exposed to the air, and ...
An Overview of the China Meteorological Administration Tropical Cyclone Database
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he China Meteorological Administration (CMA)?s tropical cyclone (TC) database includes not only the best-track dataset but also TC-induced wind and precipitation data. This article summarizes the characteristics and key ...
Parameterized Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Model for Catastrophe Risk Assessment in China
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Inland flooding and mudslides from tropical cyclone (TC) rainstorms are among the most destructive natural hazards in China, resulting in considerable direct economic losses and large numbers of fatalities. In this paper, ...
Are We Reaching the Limit of Tropical Cyclone Track Predictability in the Western North Pacific?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society