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RISThe Impact of Tropical Precipitation on Summertime Euro-Atlantic Circulation via a Circumglobal Wave Train
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe influence of tropical precipitation variability on summertime seasonal circulation anomalies in the Euro-Atlantic sector is investigated. The dominant mode of the maximum covariance analysis (MCA) between the ...
A Bayesian Approach to Atmospheric Circulation Regime Assignment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Evaluation of Probabilistic Quality and Value of the ENSEMBLES Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts: Comparison with DEMETER
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The performance of the new multimodel seasonal prediction system developed in the framework of the European Commission FP7 project called ENSEMBLE-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts (ENSEMBLES) is ...
A Century in Hindcast: Building a Suitable Test for Seasonal Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Impact of Stochastic Physics and Model Resolution on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclones in Climate GCMs
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Impact of Initial Conditions versus External Forcing in Decadal Climate Predictions: A Sensitivity Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he impact of initial conditions relative to external forcings in decadal integrations from an ensemble of state-of-the-art prediction models has been assessed using specifically designed sensitivity experiments (SWAP ...
The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts: Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Stochastic Parameterization: Toward a New View of Weather and Climate Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range, and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to represent model ...