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The Thunderstorm Forecasting System at the Kennedy Space Center
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: One of the major problems concerning meteorologists at the Kennedy Space Center, Fla, involves the forecasting of thunderstorm activity and associated adverse weather phenomena. The purpose of the study is to outline some ...
Mesoanalysis of a Severe South Florida Hailstorm
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The occurrence of large surface hail is extremely rare in low latitudes. In an effort to explain this deficiency, this paper presents a mesoscale analysis of an isolated case of large hail over Miami, Florida, in March ...
On the Relative Motion of Binary Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The interaction between spatially proximate (binary) tropical cyclones is such that relative rotation in the counterclockwise sense and decreasing separation distance between the two storm centers can be expected. This is ...
The Relationship between Tropical Cyclone Motion and Environmental Geostrophic Flows
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Based on 920 cases, the relationship between Atlantic tropical cyclone motion and environmental geostrophic flows at ten levels (from 1000 to 100 mb) has been calculated and analyzed. For the average situation, it is shown ...
Performance Analysis of the HURRAN Tropical Cyclone Forecast System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The HURRAN (hurricane analog) technique, a fully computerized objective forecast aid making use of past tracks in forecasting hurricane motion, was developed prior to the 1969 hurricane season. Encouraging operational ...
An Operational Experiment in the Statistical-Dynamical Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Motion
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Current statistical models for the prediction of tropical cyclone motion use predictors derived from climatology, persistence, and observed geopotential height data. This paper describes an operational experiment conducted ...
A Diagnostic Study on the Statistical Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Motion
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Statistical tropical cyclone prediction systems typically fall into one of three categories: 1) those using meteorological predictors derived from observed synoptic data; 2) those using purely empirical predictors such as ...
Models for the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Motion over the North Atlantic: An Operational Evaluation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study provides an operational evaluation of the seven prediction models-five statistical and two dynamical-used at the National Hurricane Center. Following a brief description of the rationale for each model, various ...