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Implications of Summertime Sea Level Pressure Anomalies in the Tropical Atlantic Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study explores the inverse relationship between sea level pressure and tropical cyclones in the tropical Atlantic (TA). Upper-air observations, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (formerly the National ...
Predicting Summertime Caribbean Pressure in Early April
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A method to predict the June?September (JJAS) Caribbean sea level pressure anomalies (SLPAs) using data available the previous April is described. The method involves the creation of a multiple linear regression equation ...
An El Niño–Southern Oscillation Climatology and Persistence (CLIPER) Forecasting Scheme
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical prediction method, which is based entirely on the optimal combination of persistence, month-to-month trend of initial conditions, and climatology, is developed for the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) ...
Reexamination of Tropical Cyclone Wind–Pressure Relationships
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Tropical cyclone wind?pressure relationships are reexamined using 15 yr of minimum sea level pressure estimates, numerical analysis fields, and best-track intensities. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated from aircraft ...
A Mesoscale Low-Level Thunderstorm Outflow Boundary Associated with Hurricane Luis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A large, low-level thunderstorm outflow boundary was observed as it exited from beneath the cirrus canopy of Hurricane Luis following a period of intense convection in the storm?s eyewall. A description of the feature and ...
Atlantic Major Hurricanes, 1995–2005—Characteristics Based on Best-Track, Aircraft, and IR Images
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Atlantic major hurricanes during the period of 1995?2005 are examined using best-track data, aircraft-based observations of central pressure, and infrared (IR) satellite images. There were 45 Atlantic major hurricanes ...
Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Eye Formation and Dissipation in Infrared Imagery
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe development of an infrared (IR; specifically near 11 ?m) eye probability forecast scheme for tropical cyclones is described. The scheme was developed from an eye detection algorithm that used a linear discriminant ...
Reply
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Veerasamy has made several comments concerning the results and methods presented in a recent article by the authors titled ?Reexamination of Tropical Cyclone Wind?Pressure Relationships.? One comment concerns the terminology ...
A Consensus Forecast for Tropical Cyclone Gale Wind Radii
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he National Hurricane Center (NHC) has been forecasting gale force wind radii for many years, and more recently (starting in 2004) began routine postanalysis or ?best tracking? of the maximum radial extent of gale [34 knots ...
After a Decade Are Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Gale Force Wind Radii Forecasts Now Skillful?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he National Hurricane Center (NHC) has a long history of forecasting the radial extent of gale force or 34-knot (kt; where 1 kt = 0.51 m s?1) winds for tropical cyclones in their area of responsibility. These are referred ...