Abstract: While sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the eastern equatorial Pacific are dominated by the thermocline feedback, in the central equatorial Pacific local wind effects, such as zonal advection, are important as ...

Abstract: The changes in model ENSO behavior due to an increase in greenhouse gases, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Business-As-Usual scenario, are investigated using a 62-member ensemble 140-yr ...

Abstract: The seasonal predictability of cold spring seasons (March?May) in Europe from hindcasts/forecasts of three operational coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) is investigated. The models used in the investigation are ...

Abstract: Since 1997, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has made seasonal forecasts with ensembles of a coupled ocean?atmosphere model, System-1 (S1). In January 2002, a new version, System-2 (S2), was ...

Abstract: The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has made seasonal forecasts since 1997 with ensembles of a coupled ocean?atmosphere model, System-1 (S1). In January 2002, a new version, System-2 (S2), was ...

Abstract: Scientific and political barriers both hinder the provision of extreme event attribution analyses in lower income countries. Concerted efforts can overcome some of these, while also improving resilience in a changing ...