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Evaluating the Skill of Categorical Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A generalized skill score is presented for evaluating forecasts in any number of categories. Each forecast in a sample is given a mark; the skill score for the sample is just the average mark. Each mark has an expected ...
The Southern Oscillation and New Zealand Weather
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Correlation coefficients between the Tahiti-Darwin Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and pressure fields in the New Zealand area show a negative SOI to be associated with anomalous southwest flow on a yearly average basis, ...
Persistent Anomalies of the Extratropical Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Circulation: Geographical Distribution and Regional Persistence Characteristics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: We have studied the geographical and regional persistence characteristics of wintertime Northern Hemisphere 500 mb height anomalies, focusing particular attention on the behavior of strong anomalies that persist beyond the ...
Air–Sea Interaction and the Seasonal Cycle of the Subtropical Anticyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The causes of the seasonal cycles of the subtropical anticyclones, and the associated zonal asymmetries of sea surface temperature (SST) across the subtropical oceans, are examined. In all basins the cool waters in the ...
Creating Synthetic Wind Speed Time Series for 15 New Zealand Wind Farms
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ind data at time scales from 10 min to 1 h are an important input for modeling the performance of wind farms and their impact on many countries? national electricity systems. Planners need long-term realistic (i.e., ...
Advancing Polar Prediction Capabilities on Daily to Seasonal Time Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he polar regions have been attracting more and more attention in recent years, fueled by the perceptible impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Polar climate change provides new opportunities, such as shorter shipping ...
Paving the Way for the Year of Polar Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society