Abstract: nalysis of a predecessor rain event (PRE) over the Straits of Florida ahead of Tropical Cyclone (TC) Isaac on 25 August 2012 is presented. This PRE is unique compared to previously documented PREs in midlatitudes because ...

Abstract: Simulations of two cases of developing mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs) are examined to determine the dynamics governing the origin and vertical structure of these features. Although one case evolves in strong vertical ...

Abstract: AbstractThe aim of this study is to examine the development of four tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Atlantic basin in late August and early September 2010. This period is of interest because four consecutive easterly ...

Abstract: lobal ensemble forecasts from The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) are used to quantify the magnitude of moisture transport into North America ahead ...

Abstract: nalysis and diagnosis of the track forecasts for Tropical Cyclone (TC) Rita (2005) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) reforecast dataset is presented. The operational numerical weather prediction guidance and ...

Abstract: his paper reports on the development of a diagnostic approach that can be used to examine the sources of numerical model forecast error that contribute to degraded tropical cyclone (TC) motion forecasts. Tropical cyclone ...

Abstract: Twenty-eight predecessor rain events (PREs) that occurred over the United States east of the Rockies during 1995?2008 are examined from a synoptic climatology and case study perspective. PREs are coherent mesoscale regions ...

Abstract: he sensitivity of convective forecasts along the Texas dryline to upstream forecast fields at earlier lead times is evaluated for two consecutive days (27?28 May) characterized by no clear synoptic forcing for convection ...

Abstract: Recent research has identified predecessor rain events (PREs), which are mesoscale regions of heavy rainfall that occur ?1000 km poleward and downshear of recurving tropical cyclones (TCs). PREs typically occur 24?36 h ...