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Influence of a Predecessor Rain Event on the Track of Tropical Cyclone Isaac (2012)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nalysis of a predecessor rain event (PRE) over the Straits of Florida ahead of Tropical Cyclone (TC) Isaac on 25 August 2012 is presented. This PRE is unique compared to previously documented PREs in midlatitudes because ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Vertical Structure of Mesoscale Convective Vortices
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Simulations of two cases of developing mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs) are examined to determine the dynamics governing the origin and vertical structure of these features. Although one case evolves in strong vertical ...
Influence of Storm–Storm and Storm–Environment Interactions on Tropical Cyclone Formation and Evolution
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe aim of this study is to examine the development of four tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Atlantic basin in late August and early September 2010. This period is of interest because four consecutive easterly ...
Moisture Transport into Midlatitudes ahead of Recurving Tropical Cyclones and Its Relevance in Two Predecessor Rain Events
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: lobal ensemble forecasts from The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) are used to quantify the magnitude of moisture transport into North America ahead ...
Diagnosis of Track Forecast Errors for Tropical Cyclone Rita (2005) Using GEFS Reforecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nalysis and diagnosis of the track forecasts for Tropical Cyclone (TC) Rita (2005) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) reforecast dataset is presented. The operational numerical weather prediction guidance and ...
Diagnosing Forecast Errors in Tropical Cyclone Motion
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his paper reports on the development of a diagnostic approach that can be used to examine the sources of numerical model forecast error that contribute to degraded tropical cyclone (TC) motion forecasts. Tropical cyclone ...
Predecessor Rain Events ahead of Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Twenty-eight predecessor rain events (PREs) that occurred over the United States east of the Rockies during 1995?2008 are examined from a synoptic climatology and case study perspective. PREs are coherent mesoscale regions ...
Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he sensitivity of convective forecasts along the Texas dryline to upstream forecast fields at earlier lead times is evaluated for two consecutive days (27?28 May) characterized by no clear synoptic forcing for convection ...
Distant Effects of a Recurving Tropical Cyclone on Rainfall in a Midlatitude Convective System: A High-Impact Predecessor Rain Event
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent research has identified predecessor rain events (PREs), which are mesoscale regions of heavy rainfall that occur ?1000 km poleward and downshear of recurving tropical cyclones (TCs). PREs typically occur 24?36 h ...