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    Fog Prediction from a Multimodel Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2010:;volume( 025 ):;issue: 001:;page 303
    Author(s): Zhou, Binbin; Du, Jun
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: A new multivariable-based diagnostic fog-forecasting method has been developed at NCEP. The selection of these variables, their thresholds, and the influences on fog forecasting are discussed. With the inclusion of the ...
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    A Dynamical Performance-Ranking Method for Predicting Individual Ensemble Member Performance and Its Application to Ensemble Averaging 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2011:;volume( 139 ):;issue: 010:;page 3284
    Author(s): Du, Jun; Zhou, Binbin
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: his study proposes a dynamical performance-ranking method (called the Du?Zhou ranking method) to predict the relative performance of individual ensemble members by assuming the ensemble mean is a good estimation of the ...
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    Numerical Simulation of a Dilute Particulate Flow (Laminar) Over Tube Banks 

    Source: Journal of Fluids Engineering:;1994:;volume( 116 ):;issue: 004:;page 770
    Author(s): Yong-Du Jun; Widen Tabakoff
    Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
    Abstract: This paper presents an investigation of numerical simulation for a dilute particle laden flow (laminar) over in-line tube banks. Particles behavior of two different sizes and density (100 μm ...
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    Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting of Quantitative Precipitation 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;1997:;volume( 125 ):;issue: 010:;page 2427
    Author(s): Du, Jun; Mullen, Steven L.; Sanders, Frederick
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The impact of initial condition uncertainty (ICU) on quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) is examined for a case of explosive cyclogenesis that occurred over the contiguous United States and produced widespread, ...
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    Removal of Distortion Error from an Ensemble Forecast 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2000:;volume( 128 ):;issue: 009:;page 3347
    Author(s): Du, Jun; Mullen, Steven L.; Sanders, Frederick
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Large errors developed by 24 h during a 25-member ensemble forecast of quantity of precipitation. The errors could be attributed to an insufficient northeastward motion of the area of precipitation and excessive amounts. ...
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    The Dependence of Ensemble Dispersion on Analysis–Forecast Systems: Implications to Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting of Precipitation 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;1999:;volume( 127 ):;issue: 007:;page 1674
    Author(s): Mullen, Steven L.; Du, Jun; Sanders, Frederick
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The impact of differences in analysis?forecast systems on dispersion of an ensemble forecast is examined for a case of cyclogenesis. Changes in the dispersion properties between two 25-member ensemble forecasts with different ...
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    Measure of Forecast Challenge and Predictability Horizon Diagram Index for Ensemble Models 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2019:;volume 034:;issue 003:;page 603
    Author(s): Du, Jun; Zhou, Binbin; Levit, Jason
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: AbstractResponding to the call for new verification methods in a recent editorial in Weather and Forecasting, this study proposed two new verification metrics to quantify the forecast challenges that a user faces in ...
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    A Comparison between a Generalized Beta–Advection Model and a Classical Beta–Advection Model in Predicting and Understanding Unusual Typhoon Tracks in Eastern China Seas 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2015:;volume( 030 ):;issue: 003:;page 771
    Author(s): Huang, Jing; Du, Jun; Qian, Weihong
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: total of 163 tropical cyclones (TCs) occurred in the eastern China seas during 1979?2011 with four types of tracks: left turning, right turning, straight moving, and irregular. The left-turning type is unusual and hard to ...
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    Reply to “Comments on ‘Incorporating the Effects of Moisture into a Dynamical Parameter: Moist Vorticity and Moist Divergence’” 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2016:;volume( 031 ):;issue: 004:;page 1397
    Author(s): Qian, Weihong; Jiang, Ning; Du, Jun
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: athematical derivation, meteorological justification, and comparison to model direct precipitation forecasts are the three main concerns recently raised by Schultz and Spengler about moist divergence (MD) and moist vorticity ...
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    Anomaly-Based Weather Analysis versus Traditional Total-Field-Based Weather Analysis for Depicting Regional Heavy Rain Events 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2015:;volume( 031 ):;issue: 001:;page 71
    Author(s): Qian, Weihong; Jiang, Ning; Du, Jun
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: lthough the use of anomaly fields in the forecast process has been shown to be useful and has caught forecasters? attention, current short-range (1?3 days) weather analyses and forecasts are still predominantly total-field ...
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