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Forecasting Warm-Season Burnoff of Low Clouds at the San Francisco International Airport Using Linear Regression and a Neural Network
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, both linear regression and a nonlinear neural network are used to forecast burnoff of low clouds in the warm season at San Francisco International Airport (SFO). Both forecast systems show skill scores between ...
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Self-Organizing Maps for the Investigation of Tornadic Near-Storm Environments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn this work, self-organizing maps (SOMs) are used to investigate patterns of favorable near-storm environmental parameters in a 13-yr climatology of 14 814 tornado events and 44 961 tornado warnings across the ...
Conditional Probability Estimation for Significant Tornadoes Based on Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) Profiles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecent literature has identified several supercell/tornado forecast parameters in common use that are operationally beneficial in assessing environments supportive of supercell tornadoes. These parameters are utilized in ...
Diagnosing the Conditional Probability of Tornado Damage Rating Using Environmental and Radar Attributes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: adar-identified convective modes, peak low-level rotational velocities, and near-storm environmental data were assigned to a sample of tornadoes reported in the contiguous United States during 2009?13. The tornado segment ...
Investigation of Near-Storm Environments for Tornado Events and Warnings
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, a 13-yr climatology of tornado event and warning environments, including metrics of tornado intensity and storm morphology, is investigated with particular focus on the environments of tornadoes associated ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Near-Storm Environments of Outbreak and Isolated Tornadoes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractBetween 2003 and 2015, there were 5343 outbreak tornadoes and 9389 isolated tornadoes reported in the continental United States. Here, the near-storm environmental parameter-space distributions of these two categories ...
Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: gridded, hourly, three-dimensional environmental mesoanalysis database at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC), based on objectively analyzed surface observations blended with the Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) model-analysis fields ...
Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS Tornado Environments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: sample of 22 901 tornado and significant severe thunderstorm events, filtered on an hourly 40-km grid, was collected for the period 2003?11 across the contiguous United States (CONUS). Convective mode was assigned to each ...