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The Reliability of Antarctic Tropospheric Pressure and Temperature in the Latest Global Reanalyses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, surface and radiosonde data from staffed Antarctic observation stations are compared to output from five reanalyses [Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR), 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40), ECMWF Interim ...
On the Robustness of Emergent Constraints Used in Multimodel Climate Change Projections of Arctic Warming
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: tatistical relationships between future and historical model runs in multimodel ensembles (MMEs) are increasingly exploited to make more constrained projections of climate change. However, such emergent constraints may be ...
Tropical and Subtropical Forcing of Future Southern Hemisphere Stationary Wave Changes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
CMIP5 Diversity in Southern Westerly Jet Projections Related to Historical Sea Ice Area: Strong Link to Strengthening and Weak Link to Shift
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA major feature of projected changes in Southern Hemisphere climate under future scenarios of increased greenhouse gas concentrations is the poleward shift and strengthening of the main eddy-driven belt of midlatitude, ...
A Comparative Study of Wave Forcing Derived from the ERA-40 and ERA-Interim Reanalysis Datasets
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Eliassen?Palm (E-P) flux divergences derived from ERA-40 and ERA-Interim show significant differences during northern winter. The discrepancies are marked by vertically alternating positive and negative anomalies at ...
CMIP5 Diversity in Southern Westerly Jet Projections Related to Historical Sea Ice Area: Strong Link to Strengthening and Weak Link to Shift
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA major feature of projected changes in Southern Hemisphere climate under future scenarios of increased greenhouse gas concentrations is the poleward shift and strengthening of the main eddy-driven belt of midlatitude, ...
Stratospheric Response to the 11-Yr Solar Cycle: Breaking Planetary Waves, Internal Reflection, and Resonance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractBreaking planetary waves (BPWs) affect stratospheric dynamics by reshaping the waveguides, causing internal wave reflection, and preconditioning sudden stratospheric warmings. This study examines observed changes ...
An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his paper examines the annual cycle and trends in Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) for 18 models used in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) that were run with historical forcing for the 1850s to ...
Strong Dynamical Modulation of the Cooling of the Polar Stratosphere Associated with the Antarctic Ozone Hole
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: model simulation forced by prescribed ozone depletion shows strong dynamical modulation of the springtime cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. The authors find that in late spring the ...
Regime Behavior in the Upper Stratosphere as a Precursor of Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling in the Northern Winter
Publisher: American Meteorological Society