SYSTEMATIC ERRORS IN OPERATIONAL NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL CENTER PRIMITIVE-EQUATION SURFACE PROGNOSESSource: Monthly Weather Review:;1971:;volume( 099 ):;issue: 005::page 409Author:LEARY, COLLEEN
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1971)099<0409:SEIONM>2.3.CO;2Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper describes an attempt to find systematic errors in the sea-level forecasts produced by the operational six layer primitive-equation model of the National Meteorological Center, Suitland, Md. The sample of cases studied contains 417 storms from the winter of 1969?1970. Several systematic errors exist. Over the oceans, the model does not forecast storms deep enough. Storms forming on the lee slopes of the Rocky Mountains are forecast too deep and too warm. Storms fill more slowly and deepen more rapidly than the model predicts. Strongly deepening cyclones move to the left of the forecast track.
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| contributor author | LEARY, COLLEEN | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T15:59:39Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T15:59:39Z | |
| date copyright | 1971/05/01 | |
| date issued | 1971 | |
| identifier issn | 0027-0644 | |
| identifier other | ams-58318.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4198752 | |
| description abstract | This paper describes an attempt to find systematic errors in the sea-level forecasts produced by the operational six layer primitive-equation model of the National Meteorological Center, Suitland, Md. The sample of cases studied contains 417 storms from the winter of 1969?1970. Several systematic errors exist. Over the oceans, the model does not forecast storms deep enough. Storms forming on the lee slopes of the Rocky Mountains are forecast too deep and too warm. Storms fill more slowly and deepen more rapidly than the model predicts. Strongly deepening cyclones move to the left of the forecast track. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | SYSTEMATIC ERRORS IN OPERATIONAL NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL CENTER PRIMITIVE-EQUATION SURFACE PROGNOSES | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 99 | |
| journal issue | 5 | |
| journal title | Monthly Weather Review | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0493(1971)099<0409:SEIONM>2.3.CO;2 | |
| journal fristpage | 409 | |
| journal lastpage | 413 | |
| tree | Monthly Weather Review:;1971:;volume( 099 ):;issue: 005 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext |