Sensitivity of Shallow Foundation Response to Model Input Parameters

Abstract

From a predictive point of view, it is desirable to characterize the effect of varying model input parameters on the seismic response of soil-foundation systems. In this paper, this issue is studied for shallow foundation systems in dry dense sand with varying vertical factors of safety, embedment depths, demand levels, and moment to shear ratios. Response parameters considered are the moment, shear, sliding, settlement, and rotation demands of the foundation. First-order sensitivity analyses indicate that among the soil input parameters, the friction angle has the most significant effect on capturing the foundation force and displacement demands. Furthermore, the uncertainty in friction angle contributes 80% of the variance of the settlement demand and 40% of the variance of the moment demand. It is also found that the uncertainty in Poisson’s ratio has a marginal effect in predicting the studied foundation response. Although the findings of this study are limited to the parameter space considered herein and care should be taken for broader applicability, it does shed light on which parameters uncertainty should be minimized.