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    Evaluating Hydrologic Sensitivity in CMIP6 Models: Anthropogenic Forcing versus ENSO

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2022:;volume( 035 ):;issue: 021::page 3355
    Author:
    Jesse Norris
    ,
    Alex Hall
    ,
    Chad W. Thackeray
    ,
    Di Chen
    ,
    Gavin D. Madakumbura
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0842.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Large uncertainty exists in hydrologic sensitivity (HS), the global-mean precipitation increase per degree of warming, across global climate model (GCM) ensembles. Meanwhile, the global circulation and hence global precipitation are sensitive to variations of surface temperature under internal variability. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most dominant mode of global temperature variability and hence of precipitation variability. Here we show in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) that the strength of HS under ENSO is predictive of HS in the climate change context (
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      Evaluating Hydrologic Sensitivity in CMIP6 Models: Anthropogenic Forcing versus ENSO

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4290068
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    contributor authorJesse Norris
    contributor authorAlex Hall
    contributor authorChad W. Thackeray
    contributor authorDi Chen
    contributor authorGavin D. Madakumbura
    date accessioned2023-04-12T18:41:08Z
    date available2023-04-12T18:41:08Z
    date copyright2022/10/14
    date issued2022
    identifier otherJCLI-D-21-0842.1.pdf
    identifier urihttp://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4290068
    description abstractLarge uncertainty exists in hydrologic sensitivity (HS), the global-mean precipitation increase per degree of warming, across global climate model (GCM) ensembles. Meanwhile, the global circulation and hence global precipitation are sensitive to variations of surface temperature under internal variability. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most dominant mode of global temperature variability and hence of precipitation variability. Here we show in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) that the strength of HS under ENSO is predictive of HS in the climate change context (
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleEvaluating Hydrologic Sensitivity in CMIP6 Models: Anthropogenic Forcing versus ENSO
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume35
    journal issue21
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0842.1
    journal fristpage3355
    journal lastpage3368
    page3355–3368
    treeJournal of Climate:;2022:;volume( 035 ):;issue: 021
    contenttypeFulltext
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