A Novel Time-Variant Reliability Analysis Method Based on Failure Processes Decomposition for Dynamic Uncertain Structures

Abstract

Due to the uncertainties and the dynamic parameters from design, manufacturing, and working conditions, many engineering structures usually show uncertain and dynamic properties. This paper proposes a novel time-variant reliability analysis method using failure processes decomposition to transform the time-variant reliability problems to the time-invariant problems for dynamic structures under uncertainties. The transformation is achieved via a two-stage failure processes decomposition. First, the limit state function with high dimensional input variables and high order temporal parameters is transformed to a quadratic function of time based on the optimized time point in the first-stage failure processes decomposition. Second, based on the characteristics of the quadratic function and reliability criterion, the time-variant reliability problem is then transformed to a time-invariant system reliability problem in the second-stage failure processes decomposition. Then, the kernel density estimation (KDE) method is finally employed for the system reliability evaluation. Several examples are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method to demonstrate its efficiency and accuracy.