Automated Approach for Construction of Long-Term, Data-Intensive Watershed Models

Abstract

Watershed models such as the Hydrological Simulation Program in FORTRAN (HSPF) are frequently used to analyze large-scale water quantity and water quality issues. The construction of HSPF models is a difficult and time-consuming process, because it requires compilation of extensive quantities of data into formatted files followed by a simultaneous fitting of many uncertain parameters. Because of these complications, studies are often limited to calibration periods of only a few years even when analyzing long time–scale issues such as climate and land-use changes that are difficult or impossible to reproduce. High-level, open source programming languages provide an environment for automating the extraction and processing of various sources of data in addition to the calibration process required by HSPF. Recently developed software can be used to build HSPF input files, run simulations, and postprocess simulation results using the Python programming language. The combination of tools in Python, public data sets on the Internet, and software extensions enables rapid development of long-term, reproducible, and sophisticated models for new hydrologic insight. Herein, the utility of these tools is illustrated by developing an automated 3-year HSPF model with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of .88 for monthly flows and .75 for daily flows in a simulation time of approximately 3 h. The integration of HSPF with a high-level programming language creates opportunities to more rigorously explore model assumptions, calibration methods, and alternative data sets.