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contributor authorWood Matthew D.;Collier Zachary A.;Bridges Todd S.;Russo Edmond J.
date accessioned2019-02-26T07:47:00Z
date available2019-02-26T07:47:00Z
date issued2018
identifier otherAJRUA6.0000963.pdf
identifier urihttp://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4249347
description abstractThe Houston Ship Channel (HSC) is one of the busiest waterway corridors in the United States. Since the channel’s expansion in 25, concerns have arisen about design deficiencies in the HSC in the area of the Bayport Ship Channel (BSC), especially north of the turn at Five Mile Cut. A mental models expert elicitation exercise was conducted in order to identify safety concerns arising from these design deficiencies and provide qualitative data that can structure analysis of technical data like those from automatic identification system (AIS) databases, which can better connect possible design deficiencies to incident outcomes. The elicitation produced an influence diagram to enable later causal reasoning and Bayesian analysis for the HSC and BSC confluence and nearby areas on the HSC, and helped to prime a comprehensive study of the feasibility of safety and performance modifications on this reach of the HSC.
publisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers
titleMental Models of Navigation Safety to Inform Risk Management Decisions: Case Study on the Houston Ship Channel
typeJournal Paper
journal volume4
journal issue3
journal titleASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
identifier doi10.1061/AJRUA6.0000963
page5018001
treeASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering:;2018:;Volume ( 004 ):;issue: 003
contenttypeFulltext


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