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    Modeling the Concession Period and Subsidy for BOT Waste-to-Energy Incineration Projects

    Source: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management:;2015:;Volume ( 141 ):;issue: 010
    Author:
    Jinbo Song
    ,
    Danrong Song
    ,
    Danlin Zhang
    DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001005
    Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
    Abstract: Build-operate-transfer (BOT) arrangements are increasing in popularity with the development of the waste-to-energy (WTE) incineration industry in China and many other countries. For BOT WTE incineration projects, decision-making regarding the concession period and the subsidy is critical for balancing the potential interests of the government, the private sector, and the public. However, the public’s concerns with and influence over the decision-making process of BOT projects have been omitted in recent research. The aim of this paper is to propose a reasonable, systematic, and multiobjective model for determining the concession period and subsidy for BOT WTE incineration projects based on system dynamics and prospect theory. By applying the system dynamics approach, a revenue model is constructed and simulated considering the causal relationship and mathematical formulations among the influencing factors, and some acceptable alternatives for the concession period and subsidy are obtained. To gain the support of the public, the public perception is measured and quantified using prospect theory and fuzzy set theory, and a fuzzy multiobjective model is proposed to identify the most feasible and satisfactory alternative for the concession period and subsidy. Finally, the proposed model is verified by a real BOT WTE incineration project in China. This research is helpful for creating a ‘multiwins’ mechanism for the government, the private sector, and the public in a BOT WTE incineration project.
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      Modeling the Concession Period and Subsidy for BOT Waste-to-Energy Incineration Projects

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    contributor authorJinbo Song
    contributor authorDanrong Song
    contributor authorDanlin Zhang
    date accessioned2017-12-16T09:19:00Z
    date available2017-12-16T09:19:00Z
    date issued2015
    identifier other%28ASCE%29CO.1943-7862.0001005.pdf
    identifier urihttp://138.201.223.254:8080/yetl1/handle/yetl/4241368
    description abstractBuild-operate-transfer (BOT) arrangements are increasing in popularity with the development of the waste-to-energy (WTE) incineration industry in China and many other countries. For BOT WTE incineration projects, decision-making regarding the concession period and the subsidy is critical for balancing the potential interests of the government, the private sector, and the public. However, the public’s concerns with and influence over the decision-making process of BOT projects have been omitted in recent research. The aim of this paper is to propose a reasonable, systematic, and multiobjective model for determining the concession period and subsidy for BOT WTE incineration projects based on system dynamics and prospect theory. By applying the system dynamics approach, a revenue model is constructed and simulated considering the causal relationship and mathematical formulations among the influencing factors, and some acceptable alternatives for the concession period and subsidy are obtained. To gain the support of the public, the public perception is measured and quantified using prospect theory and fuzzy set theory, and a fuzzy multiobjective model is proposed to identify the most feasible and satisfactory alternative for the concession period and subsidy. Finally, the proposed model is verified by a real BOT WTE incineration project in China. This research is helpful for creating a ‘multiwins’ mechanism for the government, the private sector, and the public in a BOT WTE incineration project.
    publisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers
    titleModeling the Concession Period and Subsidy for BOT Waste-to-Energy Incineration Projects
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume141
    journal issue10
    journal titleJournal of Construction Engineering and Management
    identifier doi10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001005
    treeJournal of Construction Engineering and Management:;2015:;Volume ( 141 ):;issue: 010
    contenttypeFulltext
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