| contributor author | Marimo, Pricilla | |
| contributor author | Kaplan, Todd R. | |
| contributor author | Mylne, Ken | |
| contributor author | Sharpe, Martin | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T17:36:35Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T17:36:35Z | |
| date copyright | 2015/02/01 | |
| date issued | 2014 | |
| identifier issn | 0882-8156 | |
| identifier other | ams-88021.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4231755 | |
| description abstract | xperimental economics is used to test whether undergraduate students presented with a temperature forecast with uncertainty information in a table and bar graph format were able to use the extra information to interpret a given forecast. Participants were asked to choose the most probable temperature-based outcome between a set of ?lotteries.? Both formats with uncertainty information were found on average to significantly increase the probability of choosing the correct outcome. However, in some cases providing uncertainty information was damaging. Factors that influence understanding are statistically determined. Furthermore, participants who were shown the graph with uncertainty information took on average less response time compared to those who were shown a table with uncertainty information. Over time, participants improve in speed and initially improve in accuracy of choosing the correct outcome. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | Communication of Uncertainty in Temperature Forecasts | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 30 | |
| journal issue | 1 | |
| journal title | Weather and Forecasting | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00016.1 | |
| journal fristpage | 5 | |
| journal lastpage | 22 | |
| tree | Weather and Forecasting:;2014:;volume( 030 ):;issue: 001 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext | |