Representing Richardson Number Hysteresis in the NWP Boundary Layer

Abstract

urbulence in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) transports heat, momentum, and moisture in eddies that are not resolvable by current NWP systems. Numerical models typically parameterize this process using vertical diffusion operators whose coefficients depend on the intensity of the expected turbulence. The PBL scheme employed in this study uses a one-and-a-half-order closure based on a predictive equation for the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). For a stably stratified fluid, the growth and decay of TKE is largely controlled by the dynamic stability of the flow as represented by the Richardson number. Although the existence of a critical Richardson number that uniquely separates turbulent and laminar regimes is predicted by linear theory and perturbation analysis, observational evidence and total energy arguments suggest that its value is highly uncertain. This can be explained in part by the apparent presence of turbulence regime-dependent critical values, a property known as Richardson number hysteresis. In this study, a parameterization of Richardson number hysteresis is proposed. The impact of including this effect is evaluated in systems of increasing complexity: a single-column model, a forecast case study, and a full assimilation cycle. It is shown that accounting for a hysteretic loop in the TKE equation improves guidance for a canonical freezing rain event by reducing the diffusive elimination of the warm nose aloft, thus improving the model?s representation of PBL profiles. Systematic enhancements in predictive skill further suggest that representing Richardson number hysteresis in PBL schemes using higher-order closures has the potential to yield important and physically relevant improvements in guidance quality.