Improvement of the Snow Depth in the Common Land Model by Coupling a Two-Dimensional Deterministic Ensemble Model with a Variational Hybrid Snow Cover Fraction Data Assimilation Scheme and a New Observation Operator

Abstract

uring snow cover fraction (SCF) data assimilation (DA), the simplified observation operator and presence of cloud cover cause large errors in the assimilation results. To reduce these errors, a new snow cover depletion curve (SDC), known as an observation operator in the DA system, is statistically fitted to in situ snow depth (SD) observations and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) SCF data from January 2004 to October 2008. Using this new SDC, a two-dimensional deterministic ensemble?variational hybrid DA (2DEnVar) method of integrating the deterministic ensemble Kalman filter (DEnKF) and a two-dimensional variational DA (2DVar) is proposed. The proposed 2DEnVar is then used to assimilate the MODIS SCF into the Common Land Model (CoLM) at five sites in the Altay region of China for data from November 2008 to March 2009. The analysis performance of the 2DEnVar is compared with that of the DEnKF. The results show that the 2DEnVar outperforms the DEnKF as it effectively reduces the bias and root-mean-square error during the snow accumulation and ablation periods at all sites except for the Qinghe site. In addition, the 2DEnVar, with more assimilated MODIS SCF observations, produces more innovations (observation minus forecast) than the DEnKF, with only one assimilated MODIS SCF observation. The problems of cloud cover and overestimation are addressed by the 2DEnVar.