What is Missing from the Prescription of Hydrology for Land Surface Schemes?

Abstract

and surface schemes (LSSs) are of potential interest both to hydrologists looking for innovative ways to simulate river flow and the land surface water balance and to atmospheric scientists looking to improve weather and climate predictions. This paper discusses three ideas, which are grounded in hydrological science, to improve LSS predictions of streamflow and latent heat fluxes. These three possibilities are 1) improved representation of lateral flow processes, 2) the appropriate representation of surface heterogeneity, and 3) calibration to streamflow as a way to account for parameter uncertainty. The current understanding of lateral hydrological processes is described along with their representation of a selected group of LSSs. Issues around spatial heterogeneity are discussed, and calibration in hydrologic models and LSSs is examined. A case study of an evapotranspiration-dominated basin with over 10 years of extensive observations in central Canada is presented. The results indicate that in this particular basin, calibration of streamflow presents atmospheric modelers with a unique opportunity to improve upon the current practice of using lookup tables to define parameter values. More studies are needed to determine if model calibration to streamflow is an appropriate method for generally improving LSS-modeled heat fluxes around the globe.