Seasonal Variations of Subtropical Precipitation Associated with the Southern Annular Mode

Abstract

easonal variations of subtropical precipitation anomalies associated with the southern annular mode (SAM) are explored for the period 1979?2011. In all seasons, high-polarity SAM, which refers to a poleward-shifted eddy-driven westerly jet, results in increased precipitation in high latitudes and decreased precipitation in midlatitudes as a result of the concomitant poleward shift of the midlatitude storm track. In addition, during spring?autumn, high SAM also results in increased rainfall in the subtropics. This subtropical precipitation anomaly is absent during winter. This seasonal variation of the response of subtropical precipitation to the SAM is shown to be consistent with the seasonal variation of the eddy-induced divergent meridional circulation in the subtropics (strong in summer and weak in winter). The lack of an induced divergent meridional circulation in the subtropics during winter is attributed to the presence of the wintertime subtropical jet, which causes a broad latitudinal span of eddy momentum flux divergence due primarily to higher phase speed eddies breaking poleward of the subtropical jet and lower speed eddies not breaking until they reach the equatorward flank of the subtropical jet. During the other seasons, when the subtropical jet is less distinctive, the critical line for both high and low speed eddies is on the equatorward flank of the single jet and so breaking in the subtropics occurs over a narrow range of latitudes. The implications of these findings for the seasonality of future subtropical climate change, in which a shift to high SAM in all seasons is expected to be promoted, are discussed.