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    Response of the HadGEM2 Earth System Model to Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions Pathways to the Year 2300

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2012:;volume( 026 ):;issue: 010::page 3275
    Author:
    Caesar, John
    ,
    Palin, Erika
    ,
    Liddicoat, Spencer
    ,
    Lowe, Jason
    ,
    Burke, Eleanor
    ,
    Pardaens, Anne
    ,
    Sanderson, Michael
    ,
    Kahana, Ron
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00577.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: new ensemble of simulations from the Earth System configuration of the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2 (HadGEM2-ES), is used to evaluate the response to historical and projected future greenhouse gas forcings that follow Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). In addition to the projected changes during the twenty-first century, extended simulations to the year 2300 allow an investigation into inertia in the climate system post-2100 that may occur even if atmospheric CO2 concentrations have stabilized. Projections of temperature, precipitation, sea level, permafrost, heat waves, and compatible carbon emissions are analyzed. The low emissions scenario RCP2.6 is the only scenario considered here that is approximately consistent with a 2°C global warming limit, though there are regions where local changes in temperature are projected to considerably exceed 2°C, particularly over northern high-latitude areas. An aggressive mitigation approach, represented here by RCP2.6, could contribute to avoiding the larger-magnitude future climate changes projected under higher emissions scenarios. Despite these benefits, changes should still be expected under an aggressive mitigation pathway and may require adaptation.
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      Response of the HadGEM2 Earth System Model to Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions Pathways to the Year 2300

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4222547
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    contributor authorCaesar, John
    contributor authorPalin, Erika
    contributor authorLiddicoat, Spencer
    contributor authorLowe, Jason
    contributor authorBurke, Eleanor
    contributor authorPardaens, Anne
    contributor authorSanderson, Michael
    contributor authorKahana, Ron
    date accessioned2017-06-09T17:07:26Z
    date available2017-06-09T17:07:26Z
    date copyright2013/05/01
    date issued2012
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-79734.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4222547
    description abstractnew ensemble of simulations from the Earth System configuration of the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2 (HadGEM2-ES), is used to evaluate the response to historical and projected future greenhouse gas forcings that follow Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). In addition to the projected changes during the twenty-first century, extended simulations to the year 2300 allow an investigation into inertia in the climate system post-2100 that may occur even if atmospheric CO2 concentrations have stabilized. Projections of temperature, precipitation, sea level, permafrost, heat waves, and compatible carbon emissions are analyzed. The low emissions scenario RCP2.6 is the only scenario considered here that is approximately consistent with a 2°C global warming limit, though there are regions where local changes in temperature are projected to considerably exceed 2°C, particularly over northern high-latitude areas. An aggressive mitigation approach, represented here by RCP2.6, could contribute to avoiding the larger-magnitude future climate changes projected under higher emissions scenarios. Despite these benefits, changes should still be expected under an aggressive mitigation pathway and may require adaptation.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleResponse of the HadGEM2 Earth System Model to Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions Pathways to the Year 2300
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume26
    journal issue10
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00577.1
    journal fristpage3275
    journal lastpage3284
    treeJournal of Climate:;2012:;volume( 026 ):;issue: 010
    contenttypeFulltext
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