contributor author | Collins, M. | |
contributor author | Brierley, C. M. | |
contributor author | MacVean, M. | |
contributor author | Booth, B. B. B. | |
contributor author | Harris, G. R. | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T17:03:06Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T17:03:06Z | |
date copyright | 2007/05/01 | |
date issued | 2007 | |
identifier issn | 0894-8755 | |
identifier other | ams-78579.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4221263 | |
description abstract | ?Perturbed physics? ensembles of Hadley Centre climate models have recently been used to quantify uncertainties in atmospheric and surface climate feedbacks under enhanced levels of CO2, and to produce probabilistic estimates of the magnitude of equilibrium climate change. The rate of time-dependent climate change is determined both by the strength of atmosphere?surface climate feedbacks and by the strength of processes that remove heat from the surface to the deep ocean. Here a first small ensemble of coupled atmosphere?ocean climate model experiments in which the parameters that control three key ocean physical processes are perturbed is described. It is found that the perturbations have little impact on the rate of ocean heat uptake, and thus have little impact on the time-dependent rate of global warming. Under the idealized scenario of 1% yr?1 compounded CO2 increase, the spread in the transient climate response is of the order of a few tenths of a degree, in contrast to the spread of order of 1° caused by perturbing atmospheric model parameters. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | The Sensitivity of the Rate of Transient Climate Change to Ocean Physics Perturbations | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 20 | |
journal issue | 10 | |
journal title | Journal of Climate | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/JCLI4116.1 | |
journal fristpage | 2315 | |
journal lastpage | 2320 | |
tree | Journal of Climate:;2007:;volume( 020 ):;issue: 010 | |
contenttype | Fulltext | |