contributor author | Emanuel, Kerry | |
contributor author | Zhang, Fuqing | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T17:00:03Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T17:00:03Z | |
date issued | 2017 | |
identifier issn | 0022-4928 | |
identifier other | ams-77669.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4220252 | |
description abstract | rrors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here we show that growth of intensity error is at least as sensitive to the specification of inner core moisture as to that of the wind field. We discuss implications of this finding for tropical cyclone observational strategies and for overall predictability of storm intensity. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | The Role of Inner Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 074 | |
journal issue | 007 | |
journal title | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0008.1 | |
journal fristpage | 2315 | |
journal lastpage | 2324 | |
tree | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences:;2017:;Volume( 074 ):;issue: 007 | |
contenttype | Fulltext | |