A Detailed Evaluation of GPCP 1° Daily Rainfall Estimates over the Mississippi River Basin

Abstract

This study provides an intensive evaluation of the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) 1° daily (1DD) rainfall products over the Mississippi River basin, which covers 435 1° latitude ? 1° longitude grids for the period of January 1997?December 2000 using radar-based precipitation estimates. The authors? evaluation criteria include unconditional continuous, conditional (quasi) continuous, and categorical statistics, and their analyses cover annual and seasonal time periods. The authors present spatial maps that reflect the results for the 1° grids and a summary of the results for three selected regions. They also develop a statistical framework that partitions the GPCP?radar difference statistics into GPCP error and radar error statistics. They further partition the GPCP error statistics into sampling error and retrieval error statistics and estimate the sampling error statistics using a data-based resampling experiment. Highlights of the results include the following: 1) the GPCP 1DD product captures the spatial and temporal variability of rainfall to a high degree, with more than 80% of the variance explained, 2) the GPCP 1DD product proficiently detects rainy days at a large range of rainfall thresholds, and 3) in comparison with radar-based estimates the GPCP 1DD product overestimates rainfall.