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    Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes

    Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2014:;volume( 096 ):;issue: 006::page 997
    Author:
    Walsh, Kevin J. E.
    ,
    Camargo, Suzana J.
    ,
    Vecchi, Gabriel A.
    ,
    Daloz, Anne Sophie
    ,
    Elsner, James
    ,
    Emanuel, Kerry
    ,
    Horn, Michael
    ,
    Lim, Young-Kwon
    ,
    Roberts, Malcolm
    ,
    Patricola, Christina
    ,
    Scoccimarro, Enrico
    ,
    Sobel, Adam H.
    ,
    Strazzo, Sarah
    ,
    Villarini, Gabriele
    ,
    Wehner, Michael
    ,
    Zhao, Ming
    ,
    Kossin, James P.
    ,
    LaRow, Tim
    ,
    Oouchi, Kazuyoshi
    ,
    Schubert, Siegfried
    ,
    Wang, Hui
    ,
    Bacmeister, Julio
    ,
    Chang, Ping
    ,
    Chauvin, Fabrice
    ,
    Jablonowski, Christiane
    ,
    Kumar, Arun
    ,
    Murakami, Hiroyuki
    ,
    Ose, Tomoaki
    ,
    Reed, Kevin A.
    ,
    Saravanan, Ramalingam
    ,
    Yamada, Yohei
    ,
    Zarzycki, Colin M.
    ,
    Vidale, Pier Luigi
    ,
    Jonas, Jeffrey A.
    ,
    Henderson, Naomi
    DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00242.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: hile a quantitative climate theory of tropical cyclone formation remains elusive, considerable progress has been made recently in our ability to simulate tropical cyclone climatologies and to understand the relationship between climate and tropical cyclone formation. Climate models are now able to simulate a realistic rate of global tropical cyclone formation, although simulation of the Atlantic tropical cyclone climatology remains challenging unless horizontal resolutions finer than 50 km are employed. This article summarizes published research from the idealized experiments of the Hurricane Working Group of U.S. Climate and Ocean: Variability, Predictability and Change (CLIVAR). This work, combined with results from other model simulations, has strengthened relationships between tropical cyclone formation rates and climate variables such as midtropospheric vertical velocity, with decreased climatological vertical velocities leading to decreased tropical cyclone formation. Systematic differences are shown between experiments in which only sea surface temperature is increased compared with experiments where only atmospheric carbon dioxide is increased. Experiments where only carbon dioxide is increased are more likely to demonstrate a decrease in tropical cyclone numbers, similar to the decreases simulated by many climate models for a future, warmer climate. Experiments where the two effects are combined also show decreases in numbers, but these tend to be less for models that demonstrate a strong tropical cyclone response to increased sea surface temperatures. Further experiments are proposed that may improve our understanding of the relationship between climate and tropical cyclone formation, including experiments with two-way interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere and variations in atmospheric aerosols.
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      Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4215625
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    • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

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    contributor authorWalsh, Kevin J. E.
    contributor authorCamargo, Suzana J.
    contributor authorVecchi, Gabriel A.
    contributor authorDaloz, Anne Sophie
    contributor authorElsner, James
    contributor authorEmanuel, Kerry
    contributor authorHorn, Michael
    contributor authorLim, Young-Kwon
    contributor authorRoberts, Malcolm
    contributor authorPatricola, Christina
    contributor authorScoccimarro, Enrico
    contributor authorSobel, Adam H.
    contributor authorStrazzo, Sarah
    contributor authorVillarini, Gabriele
    contributor authorWehner, Michael
    contributor authorZhao, Ming
    contributor authorKossin, James P.
    contributor authorLaRow, Tim
    contributor authorOouchi, Kazuyoshi
    contributor authorSchubert, Siegfried
    contributor authorWang, Hui
    contributor authorBacmeister, Julio
    contributor authorChang, Ping
    contributor authorChauvin, Fabrice
    contributor authorJablonowski, Christiane
    contributor authorKumar, Arun
    contributor authorMurakami, Hiroyuki
    contributor authorOse, Tomoaki
    contributor authorReed, Kevin A.
    contributor authorSaravanan, Ramalingam
    contributor authorYamada, Yohei
    contributor authorZarzycki, Colin M.
    contributor authorVidale, Pier Luigi
    contributor authorJonas, Jeffrey A.
    contributor authorHenderson, Naomi
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:45:15Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:45:15Z
    date copyright2015/06/01
    date issued2014
    identifier issn0003-0007
    identifier otherams-73503.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4215625
    description abstracthile a quantitative climate theory of tropical cyclone formation remains elusive, considerable progress has been made recently in our ability to simulate tropical cyclone climatologies and to understand the relationship between climate and tropical cyclone formation. Climate models are now able to simulate a realistic rate of global tropical cyclone formation, although simulation of the Atlantic tropical cyclone climatology remains challenging unless horizontal resolutions finer than 50 km are employed. This article summarizes published research from the idealized experiments of the Hurricane Working Group of U.S. Climate and Ocean: Variability, Predictability and Change (CLIVAR). This work, combined with results from other model simulations, has strengthened relationships between tropical cyclone formation rates and climate variables such as midtropospheric vertical velocity, with decreased climatological vertical velocities leading to decreased tropical cyclone formation. Systematic differences are shown between experiments in which only sea surface temperature is increased compared with experiments where only atmospheric carbon dioxide is increased. Experiments where only carbon dioxide is increased are more likely to demonstrate a decrease in tropical cyclone numbers, similar to the decreases simulated by many climate models for a future, warmer climate. Experiments where the two effects are combined also show decreases in numbers, but these tend to be less for models that demonstrate a strong tropical cyclone response to increased sea surface temperatures. Further experiments are proposed that may improve our understanding of the relationship between climate and tropical cyclone formation, including experiments with two-way interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere and variations in atmospheric aerosols.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleHurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume96
    journal issue6
    journal titleBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
    identifier doi10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00242.1
    journal fristpage997
    journal lastpage1017
    treeBulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2014:;volume( 096 ):;issue: 006
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
    yabeshDSpacePersian