An Experiment in Non-Linear PredictionSource: Journal of Applied Meteorology:;1965:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 006::page 701Author:Jones, Richard H.
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(1965)004<0701:AEINLP>2.0.CO;2Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The role of statistics in numerical weather prediction should be to aid in the handling of random errors and disturbances. The actual prediction is a problem in dynamics. When the initial conditions are observed with error, there is information in the past forecasts which could increase the accuracy of the numerical predictions. The techniques of control theory provide an optimal method for combining past forecasts with current observations. This paper demonstrates the method on simulated non-linear time series.
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contributor author | Jones, Richard H. | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T16:42:44Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T16:42:44Z | |
date copyright | 1965/12/01 | |
date issued | 1965 | |
identifier issn | 0021-8952 | |
identifier other | ams-7277.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4214811 | |
description abstract | The role of statistics in numerical weather prediction should be to aid in the handling of random errors and disturbances. The actual prediction is a problem in dynamics. When the initial conditions are observed with error, there is information in the past forecasts which could increase the accuracy of the numerical predictions. The techniques of control theory provide an optimal method for combining past forecasts with current observations. This paper demonstrates the method on simulated non-linear time series. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | An Experiment in Non-Linear Prediction | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 4 | |
journal issue | 6 | |
journal title | Journal of Applied Meteorology | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0450(1965)004<0701:AEINLP>2.0.CO;2 | |
journal fristpage | 701 | |
journal lastpage | 705 | |
tree | Journal of Applied Meteorology:;1965:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 006 | |
contenttype | Fulltext |