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    The Madden–Julian Oscillation and the Relative Value of Deterministic Forecasts of Extreme Precipitation in the Contiguous United States

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2011:;volume( 024 ):;issue: 010::page 2421
    Author:
    Jones, Charles
    ,
    Carvalho, Leila M. V.
    ,
    Gottschalck, Jon
    ,
    Higgins, Wayne
    DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI-D-10-05002.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: he Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) is the most prominent form of tropical intraseasonal variability that impacts weather and climate. Forecast skill of extreme precipitation in the contiguous United States (CONUS) during winter is higher when the MJO is active and has enhanced convection over the Western Hemisphere, Africa, and/or the western Indian Ocean. This study applies a simple decision model to examine the relationships between the MJO and the relative value of deterministic forecasts of extreme precipitation. Value in the forecasts is significantly higher and extends to longer leads (2 weeks) during active MJO.
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      The Madden–Julian Oscillation and the Relative Value of Deterministic Forecasts of Extreme Precipitation in the Contiguous United States

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    contributor authorJones, Charles
    contributor authorCarvalho, Leila M. V.
    contributor authorGottschalck, Jon
    contributor authorHiggins, Wayne
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:40:30Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:40:30Z
    date copyright2011/05/01
    date issued2011
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-71999.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4213952
    description abstracthe Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) is the most prominent form of tropical intraseasonal variability that impacts weather and climate. Forecast skill of extreme precipitation in the contiguous United States (CONUS) during winter is higher when the MJO is active and has enhanced convection over the Western Hemisphere, Africa, and/or the western Indian Ocean. This study applies a simple decision model to examine the relationships between the MJO and the relative value of deterministic forecasts of extreme precipitation. Value in the forecasts is significantly higher and extends to longer leads (2 weeks) during active MJO.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleThe Madden–Julian Oscillation and the Relative Value of Deterministic Forecasts of Extreme Precipitation in the Contiguous United States
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume24
    journal issue10
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/2011JCLI-D-10-05002.1
    journal fristpage2421
    journal lastpage2428
    treeJournal of Climate:;2011:;volume( 024 ):;issue: 010
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
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