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    Joint Diagnostic of the Surface Air Temperature in Southern South America and the Madden–Julian Oscillation

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2010:;volume( 025 ):;issue: 004::page 1275
    Author:
    Naumann, Gustavo
    ,
    Vargas, Walter M.
    DOI: 10.1175/2010WAF2222418.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The objective of this research is to explore the relationship between maximum and minimum temperatures, daily precipitation, and the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO). It was found that the different phases of the MJO show a consistent signal on winter temperature variability and precipitation in southeastern South America. Additionally, this paper explores the spatial?temporal variations of mutual information and joint entropy between temperature and the MJO. A defined spatial pattern was observed with an increased signal in northeastern Argentina and southern Brazil. In the local mutual information analysis, periods in which the mutual information doubled the average values were observed over the entire region. These results indicate that these connections can be used to forecast winter temperatures with a better skill score in situations where both variables covary.
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      Joint Diagnostic of the Surface Air Temperature in Southern South America and the Madden–Julian Oscillation

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    contributor authorNaumann, Gustavo
    contributor authorVargas, Walter M.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:38:49Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:38:49Z
    date copyright2010/08/01
    date issued2010
    identifier issn0882-8156
    identifier otherams-71506.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4213406
    description abstractThe objective of this research is to explore the relationship between maximum and minimum temperatures, daily precipitation, and the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO). It was found that the different phases of the MJO show a consistent signal on winter temperature variability and precipitation in southeastern South America. Additionally, this paper explores the spatial?temporal variations of mutual information and joint entropy between temperature and the MJO. A defined spatial pattern was observed with an increased signal in northeastern Argentina and southern Brazil. In the local mutual information analysis, periods in which the mutual information doubled the average values were observed over the entire region. These results indicate that these connections can be used to forecast winter temperatures with a better skill score in situations where both variables covary.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleJoint Diagnostic of the Surface Air Temperature in Southern South America and the Madden–Julian Oscillation
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume25
    journal issue4
    journal titleWeather and Forecasting
    identifier doi10.1175/2010WAF2222418.1
    journal fristpage1275
    journal lastpage1280
    treeWeather and Forecasting:;2010:;volume( 025 ):;issue: 004
    contenttypeFulltext
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