Significance Tests in Climate ScienceSource: Journal of Climate:;2010:;volume( 023 ):;issue: 022::page 5927Author:Ambaum, Maarten H. P.
DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3746.1Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: large fraction of papers in the climate literature includes erroneous uses of significance tests. A Bayesian analysis is presented to highlight the meaning of significance tests and why typical misuse occurs. The significance statistic is not a quantitative measure of how confident one can be of the ?reality? of a given result. It is concluded that a significance test very rarely provides useful quantitative information.
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| contributor author | Ambaum, Maarten H. P. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T16:35:58Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T16:35:58Z | |
| date copyright | 2010/11/01 | |
| date issued | 2010 | |
| identifier issn | 0894-8755 | |
| identifier other | ams-70691.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4212499 | |
| description abstract | large fraction of papers in the climate literature includes erroneous uses of significance tests. A Bayesian analysis is presented to highlight the meaning of significance tests and why typical misuse occurs. The significance statistic is not a quantitative measure of how confident one can be of the ?reality? of a given result. It is concluded that a significance test very rarely provides useful quantitative information. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | Significance Tests in Climate Science | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 23 | |
| journal issue | 22 | |
| journal title | Journal of Climate | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/2010JCLI3746.1 | |
| journal fristpage | 5927 | |
| journal lastpage | 5932 | |
| tree | Journal of Climate:;2010:;volume( 023 ):;issue: 022 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext |