Critical Evaluation of the ISCCP Simulator Using Ground-Based Remote Sensing Data

Abstract

Given the known shortcomings in representing clouds in global climate models (GCMs), comparisons with observations are critical. The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) diagnostic products provide global descriptions of cloud-top pressure and column optical depth that extend over multiple decades. Given the characteristics of the ISCCP product, the model output must be converted into what the ISCCP algorithm would diagnose from an atmospheric column with similar physical characteristics. This study evaluates one component of this so-called ISCCP simulator by comparing ISCCP results with simulated ISCCP diagnostics that are derived from data collected at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) Climate Research Facility. It is shown that if a model were to simulate the cloud radiative profile with the same accuracy as can be derived from the ARM data, the likelihood of that occurrence being classified with similar cloud-top pressure and optical depth as ISCCP would range from 30% to 70% depending on optical depth. The ISCCP simulator improved the agreement of cloud-top pressure between ground-based remote sensors and satellite observations, and we find only minor discrepancies because of the parameterization of cloud-top pressure in the ISCCP simulator. The differences seem to be primarily due to discrepancies between satellite and ground-based sensors in the visible optical depth. The source of the optical depth bias appears to be due to subpixel cloud field variability in the retrieval of optical depths from satellite sensors. These comparisons suggest that caution should be applied to comparisons between models and ISCCP observations until the differences in visible optical depths are fully understood. The simultaneous use of ground-based and satellite retrievals in the evaluation of model clouds is encouraged.