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    Observed and Modeled Changes in the South Asian Summer Monsoon over the Historical Period

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2010:;volume( 023 ):;issue: 019::page 5193
    Author:
    Fan, Fangxing
    ,
    Mann, Michael E.
    ,
    Lee, Sukyoung
    ,
    Evans, Jenni L.
    DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3374.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The behavior in the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) was analyzed in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) multimodel historical (20c3m) simulations and in modern observational and reanalysis data. The CMIP3 simulations capture the observed trend of weakening of the SASM circulation over the past half century, but are unable to reproduce the magnitude of the observed weakening trend. While the observations indicate a slight decrease in SASM-related precipitation, the CMIP3 simulations indicate on average a very slight increase, albeit with very large intermodel and intramodel variabilities. The CMIP3 simulations reproduce the observed negative relationship between the SASM and ENSO. The observed weakening trend in this relationship in recent decades, which has been attributed in some studies to anthropogenic forcing, appears to be well within the variability of the CMIP3 multimodel ensemble. For some models, distinct realizations indicate both strengthening and weakening trends that are larger in magnitude than the observed weakening trend.
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      Observed and Modeled Changes in the South Asian Summer Monsoon over the Historical Period

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4212243
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    contributor authorFan, Fangxing
    contributor authorMann, Michael E.
    contributor authorLee, Sukyoung
    contributor authorEvans, Jenni L.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:35:10Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:35:10Z
    date copyright2010/10/01
    date issued2010
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-70460.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4212243
    description abstractThe behavior in the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) was analyzed in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) multimodel historical (20c3m) simulations and in modern observational and reanalysis data. The CMIP3 simulations capture the observed trend of weakening of the SASM circulation over the past half century, but are unable to reproduce the magnitude of the observed weakening trend. While the observations indicate a slight decrease in SASM-related precipitation, the CMIP3 simulations indicate on average a very slight increase, albeit with very large intermodel and intramodel variabilities. The CMIP3 simulations reproduce the observed negative relationship between the SASM and ENSO. The observed weakening trend in this relationship in recent decades, which has been attributed in some studies to anthropogenic forcing, appears to be well within the variability of the CMIP3 multimodel ensemble. For some models, distinct realizations indicate both strengthening and weakening trends that are larger in magnitude than the observed weakening trend.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleObserved and Modeled Changes in the South Asian Summer Monsoon over the Historical Period
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume23
    journal issue19
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/2010JCLI3374.1
    journal fristpage5193
    journal lastpage5205
    treeJournal of Climate:;2010:;volume( 023 ):;issue: 019
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
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