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    Relative Contribution of Greenhouse Gases and Ozone-Depleting Substances to Temperature Trends in the Stratosphere: A Chemistry–Climate Model Study

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2010:;volume( 023 ):;issue: 001::page 28
    Author:
    Stolarski, Richard S.
    ,
    Douglass, Anne R.
    ,
    Newman, Paul A.
    ,
    Pawson, Steven
    ,
    Schoeberl, Mark R.
    DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2955.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The temperature of the stratosphere has decreased over the past several decades. Two causes contribute to that decrease: well-mixed greenhouse gases (GHGs) and ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). This paper addresses the attribution of temperature decreases to these two causes and the implications of that attribution for the future evolution of stratospheric temperature. Time series analysis is applied to simulations of the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry?Climate Model (GEOS CCM) to separate the contributions of GHGs from those of ODSs based on their different time-dependent signatures. The analysis indicates that about 60%?70% of the temperature decrease of the past two decades in the upper stratosphere near 1 hPa and in the lower midlatitude stratosphere near 50 hPa resulted from changes attributable to ODSs, primarily through their impact on ozone. As ozone recovers over the next several decades, the temperature should continue to decrease in the middle and upper stratosphere because of GHG increases. The time series of observed temperature in the upper stratosphere is approaching the length needed to separate the effects of ozone-depleting substances from those of greenhouse gases using temperature time series data.
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      Relative Contribution of Greenhouse Gases and Ozone-Depleting Substances to Temperature Trends in the Stratosphere: A Chemistry–Climate Model Study

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4210419
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    contributor authorStolarski, Richard S.
    contributor authorDouglass, Anne R.
    contributor authorNewman, Paul A.
    contributor authorPawson, Steven
    contributor authorSchoeberl, Mark R.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:29:29Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:29:29Z
    date copyright2010/01/01
    date issued2010
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-68819.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4210419
    description abstractThe temperature of the stratosphere has decreased over the past several decades. Two causes contribute to that decrease: well-mixed greenhouse gases (GHGs) and ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). This paper addresses the attribution of temperature decreases to these two causes and the implications of that attribution for the future evolution of stratospheric temperature. Time series analysis is applied to simulations of the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry?Climate Model (GEOS CCM) to separate the contributions of GHGs from those of ODSs based on their different time-dependent signatures. The analysis indicates that about 60%?70% of the temperature decrease of the past two decades in the upper stratosphere near 1 hPa and in the lower midlatitude stratosphere near 50 hPa resulted from changes attributable to ODSs, primarily through their impact on ozone. As ozone recovers over the next several decades, the temperature should continue to decrease in the middle and upper stratosphere because of GHG increases. The time series of observed temperature in the upper stratosphere is approaching the length needed to separate the effects of ozone-depleting substances from those of greenhouse gases using temperature time series data.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleRelative Contribution of Greenhouse Gases and Ozone-Depleting Substances to Temperature Trends in the Stratosphere: A Chemistry–Climate Model Study
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume23
    journal issue1
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/2009JCLI2955.1
    journal fristpage28
    journal lastpage42
    treeJournal of Climate:;2010:;volume( 023 ):;issue: 001
    contenttypeFulltext
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