Adaptive Soil Moisture Profile Filtering for Horizontal Information Propagation in the Independent Column-Based CLM2.0

Abstract

Data assimilation aims to provide an optimal estimate of the overall system state, not only for an observed state variable or location. However, large-scale land surface models are typically column-based and purely random ensemble perturbation of states will lead to block-diagonal a priori (or background) error covariance. This facilitates the filtering calculations but compromises the potential of data assimilation to influence (unobserved) vertical and horizontal neighboring state variables. Here, a combination of an ensemble Kalman filter and an adaptive covariance correction method is explored to optimize the variances and retrieve the off-block-diagonal correlations in the a priori error covariance matrix. In a first time period, all available soil moisture profile observations in a small agricultural field are assimilated into the Community Land Model, version 2.0 (CLM2.0) to find the adaptive second-order a priori error information. After that period, only observations from single individual soil profiles are assimilated with inclusion of this adaptive information. It is shown that assimilation of a single profile can partially rectify the incorrectly simulated soil moisture spatial mean and variability. The largest reduction in the root-mean-square error in the soil moisture field varies between 7% and 22%, depending on the soil depth, when assimilating a single complete profile every two days during three months with a single time-invariant covariance correction.