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contributor authorIonita, Monica
contributor authorLohmann, Gerrit
contributor authorRimbu, Norel
date accessioned2017-06-09T16:23:42Z
date available2017-06-09T16:23:42Z
date copyright2008/12/01
date issued2008
identifier issn0894-8755
identifier otherams-67090.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4208498
description abstractThe predictability of Elbe streamflow anomalies during spring is examined using previous winter sea surface temperature (SST), temperature over land (TT), and precipitation (PP) anomalies. Based on running correlation analysis, the authors identify several regions where the spring streamflow anomalies are stable correlated with SST, TT, and PP anomalies from the previous winter. During the period 1902?71 the Elbe spring streamflow is stable correlated with previous winter PP anomalies from its catchment area, with TT anomalies from the Black Sea?Caspian Sea region, northwestern Europe, and northern Canada as well as with SST anomalies from the tropical Pacific, the Indian Ocean, and several regions of the North Pacific and the North Atlantic. An index based on winter SST, TT, and PP anomalies from these regions is highly significantly correlated with spring streamflow anomalies during this period. Based on SST, TT, and PP anomalies from stable correlated regions, a forecast scheme is developed and applied to predict spring streamflow anomalies during the last decades. The prediction based on this statistical scheme represents a marked improvement relative to the forecast based on teleconnection indices that are traditionally used for streamflow prediction.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titlePrediction of Spring Elbe Discharge Based on Stable Teleconnections with Winter Global Temperature and Precipitation
typeJournal Paper
journal volume21
journal issue23
journal titleJournal of Climate
identifier doi10.1175/2008JCLI2248.1
journal fristpage6215
journal lastpage6226
treeJournal of Climate:;2008:;volume( 021 ):;issue: 023
contenttypeFulltext


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