Recent Changes in Downward Longwave Radiation at King Sejong Station, Antarctica

Abstract

Effects of cloud, air temperature, and specific humidity on downward longwave irradiance and their long-term variabilities are examined by analyzing the measurements made at the King Sejong Station in the Antarctic Peninsula during the period of 1996?2006. It has been shown that the downward longwave irradiance (DLR) is significantly correlated with three variables: air temperature, specific humidity, and cloudiness. Based on the relationship of the three variables with DLR, a multiple linear regression model has been developed in order to evaluate the relative contribution of each of the variables to the variation of DLR. The three variables together explained 75% of all the variance in daily mean DLR. The respective contribution from specific humidity and cloudiness to the variation of DLR was 46% and 23%; thus most of the DLR variability can be explained by the variations in the two variables. The annual mean of longwave cloud forcing shows 52 W m?2 with no remarkable seasonal cycle. It is also noted that the overcast cloud effect gives an increase by 65 W m?2 with respect to clear-sky flux throughout the year. It is suggested that the multiple regression model can be used to estimate the radiative forcings of variables influencing the DLR variability. A highly significant decrease in DLR with an average of ?1.52 W m?2 yr?1 (?0.54% yr?1) is found in an analysis from the time series of the deseasonalized monthly mean values. Accordingly, the atmospheric flux emissivity, air temperature, and specific humidity have also decreased in their time series, while the cloudiness has increased insignificantly. Consequently, it may be concluded that the recent decrease in DLR is mainly attributed to the net cooling effect due to the decrease in air temperature and specific humidity, which overwhelm the slight warming effect in cloudiness. Analysis of mean monthly trends for individual months shows that, as for the annual data, the variations in DLR are mostly associated with those of air temperature, specific humidity, and cloudiness.