| contributor author | Bourke, W. | |
| contributor author | Buizza, R. | |
| contributor author | Naughton, M. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T16:15:39Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T16:15:39Z | |
| date copyright | 2004/10/01 | |
| date issued | 2004 | |
| identifier issn | 0027-0644 | |
| identifier other | ams-64346.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4205450 | |
| description abstract | The performance of two ensemble prediction systems, that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (EC-EPS) and that of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BM-EPS) are compared over the Southern Hemisphere annulus (20°?60°S) and over the Australian region. Ten-day ensemble forecasts for 152 daily cases (from 2 April to 31 August 2001) of 500-hPa geopotential height are examined. A comprehensive set of verification measures documents the different spread and skill characteristics of the BM-EPS and EC-EPS. Overall, EC-EPS deterministic (i.e., unperturbed control) products and the probabilistic ensemble-based products are more skillful than the corresponding BM-EPS products. The utility of the BM-EPS for the Australian region is indicated. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | Performance of the ECMWF and the BoM Ensemble Prediction Systems in the Southern Hemisphere | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 132 | |
| journal issue | 10 | |
| journal title | Monthly Weather Review | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<2338:POTEAT>2.0.CO;2 | |
| journal fristpage | 2338 | |
| journal lastpage | 2357 | |
| tree | Monthly Weather Review:;2004:;volume( 132 ):;issue: 010 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext | |