contributor author | Tribbia, J. J. | |
contributor author | Baumhefner, D. P. | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T16:15:18Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T16:15:18Z | |
date copyright | 2004/03/01 | |
date issued | 2004 | |
identifier issn | 0027-0644 | |
identifier other | ams-64240.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4205332 | |
description abstract | An examination of the scale interactions in predictability experiments is made using the NCAR Community Climate Model Version 3 (CCM3) at various horizontal resolutions ranging from T42 to T170. Both identical-model and imperfect-model twin experiments are analyzed, and they show distinctive differences from the classical inverse cascade picture of predictability error growth. In the identical-model twin framework, error growth experiments using initial errors confined to long and short scales are compared and contrasted. In these cases, error growth eventually asymptotes to an exponential growth of baroclinically active scales. In the imperfect-model twin experiments, errors rapidly disperse from scales technically beyond model resolution to a small amplitude, spectrally uniform distribution of errors in resolved scales. The errors in resolved scales further amplify in a quasi-exponential growth of the baroclinically active scales. Finally, the implications of these growth mechanisms for the necessary resolution in short- to medium-range numerical weather prediction are given under the assumption that the accuracy of current initial state estimates of the atmosphere remain fixed at their present level. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | Scale Interactions and Atmospheric Predictability: An Updated Perspective | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 132 | |
journal issue | 3 | |
journal title | Monthly Weather Review | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<0703:SIAAPA>2.0.CO;2 | |
journal fristpage | 703 | |
journal lastpage | 713 | |
tree | Monthly Weather Review:;2004:;volume( 132 ):;issue: 003 | |
contenttype | Fulltext | |