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    ENSO Impact on Hurricane Landfall Probabilities for the Caribbean

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2003:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 017::page 2925
    Author:
    Tartaglione, Carissa A.
    ,
    Smith, Shawn R.
    ,
    O'Brien, James J.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2925:EIOHLP>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The warm phase of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation is known to suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin, and several studies have evaluated the influence of ENSO on hurricane landfalls in the United States. The present analysis focuses on hurricane landfall probabilities in relation to ENSO for landmasses surrounding the Caribbean Sea. La Niña events are found to be associated with an increased probability of hurricane landfalls in the Caribbean as a whole. Regional variations in the impact of ENSO on hurricane landfall probabilities in the Caribbean are identified, including a lack of an El Niño decrease in probability (relative to neutral years) in the east and west Caribbean.
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      ENSO Impact on Hurricane Landfall Probabilities for the Caribbean

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4204600
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    contributor authorTartaglione, Carissa A.
    contributor authorSmith, Shawn R.
    contributor authorO'Brien, James J.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:13:17Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:13:17Z
    date copyright2003/09/01
    date issued2003
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-6358.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4204600
    description abstractThe warm phase of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation is known to suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin, and several studies have evaluated the influence of ENSO on hurricane landfalls in the United States. The present analysis focuses on hurricane landfall probabilities in relation to ENSO for landmasses surrounding the Caribbean Sea. La Niña events are found to be associated with an increased probability of hurricane landfalls in the Caribbean as a whole. Regional variations in the impact of ENSO on hurricane landfall probabilities in the Caribbean are identified, including a lack of an El Niño decrease in probability (relative to neutral years) in the east and west Caribbean.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleENSO Impact on Hurricane Landfall Probabilities for the Caribbean
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume16
    journal issue17
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2925:EIOHLP>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage2925
    journal lastpage2931
    treeJournal of Climate:;2003:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 017
    contenttypeFulltext
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